Prediction : Nottingham Forest vs Brentford FC

The 2025/26 Premier League season continues as Nottingham Forest host Brentford FC at the City Ground on Sunday, 17 August 2025, 14:00 BST. Our expert analysis predicts a Nottingham Forest victory at attractive odds of 2.30, based on form, head-to-head trends, and home advantage.

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford FC Head-to-Head

VenueMatchesForest WinsBrentford WinsDrawsGoals per Game
All Competitions105322.4
At City Ground53112.6
  • Nottingham Forest have won 60% of meetings at the City Ground.
  • Recent head-to-heads have produced an average of 2.4 goals per game.

2024/25 Season Form

Nottingham Forest (7th in PL 24/25)

  • Record: 19W-8D-11L, 65 points
  • Goals scored: 58 (1.61 gpg), conceded 46 (1.27 gpg)
  • Home record: 9W-5D-5L

Brentford FC (10th in PL 24/25)

  • Record: 16W-8D-14L, 48 points
  • Goals scored: 66 (1.83 gpg), conceded 57 (1.58 gpg)
  • Away record: 7W-4D-8L

Recent Pre-Season & Early Season Form

  • Nottingham Forest drew 2–2 with Stuttgart and beat Sevilla 1–0 in pre-season friendlies.
  • Brentford lost 1–2 to Olympiacos and drew 1–1 with Union SG, showing mixed results on tour.

Early-season results highlight Forest’s home-steeliness under manager Steven Reid and Brentford’s inconsistent away performances under Thomas Frank.

Key Players to Watch

Nottingham Forest

  • Taiwo Awoniyi (CF): 15 goals last season, proven Premier League finisher.
  • Morgan Gibbs-White (AM): Creative engine with 8 assists in 24/25.
  • Murillo (CB): Defensive stalwart and aerial threat from set pieces.

Brentford FC

  • Bryan Mbeumo (FW): Scored 14 league goals, key attacking outlet.
  • Mathias Jensen (CM): Set-piece specialist and creative playmaker.
  • Ethan Pinnock (CB): Defensive leader, strong in duels.

Why Nottingham Forest to Win?

  1. Home Advantage: City Ground produced a 50% win rate last season.
  2. Head-to-Head Edge: Forest unbeaten in 4 of 5 home meetings.
  3. Early Momentum: Pre-season confidence and continuity under Reid.
  4. Brentford Away Woes: Only 5 away wins in 24/25 PL and defensive lapses.
  5. Goal Threat: Forest scored in 78% of home matches last season.

Betting Market & Odds

MarketOddsImplied Probability
Nottingham Forest Win2.3043.5%
Draw3.4029.4%
Brentford Win3.1032.3%

The odds reflect confidence in a Forest home victory. Nottingham Forest to win @ 2.30 is our primary recommendation.

Prediction Summary

  • Match: Nottingham Forest vs Brentford FC
  • Competition: Premier League Round 1
  • Prediction: Nottingham Forest to Win
  • Odds: 2.30

Expect Forest’s home form and attacking flair to overcome Brentford’s resilient but travels-susceptible side.

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