Swansea City host Crawley Town at the Swansea.com Stadium on Tuesday, 12 August 2025, 19:00 BST, as both clubs seek progress in the EFL Cup. Expert analysis and recent form trends point strongly to Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes at value odds.
Head-to-Head, BTTS & Statistical Trends
| Statistic | Swansea City | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Previous Meetings | 2 Wins | 0 Wins |
| Goals (H2H) | 2.5/game | 2/game |
| BTTS Rate (H2H) | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS Rate (2024/25) | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 Rate | 40% | 60% |
- Both sides have scored in 50–60% of games, with recent head-to-heads (3-2 scorelines) regularly producing BTTS outcomes.
- Swansea’s home matches and Crawley’s away games each see goals at both ends in 50%+ of recent fixtures.
Team Form & Match Context
Swansea City – Championship
- Ended last season mid-table, but closed with an attacking run (avg. 1.1 goals/game last 10).
- In their last 6 at home (including pre-season), the Swans scored at least once in 5, conceding in 4.
- Opened the 2025/26 campaign with a 0-1 defeat to Middlesbrough, with lapses at the back and strong late attacks.
Crawley Town – League Two
- Started 2025/26 with 2 losses, conceding 5 goals; defensive frailties but attacking intent.
- Away form remains inconsistent: 6 defeats in their last 9 competitive away fixtures, but scoring in 80%.
- Last away game: lost 1-2 at Southampton U21 but found the net.
Why BTTS Yes Is Strong Value
- Recent H2H history: Last competitive meetings ended 3-2, supporting goals for both.
- Season form: Both teams are more effective in attack than defence early season, especially Swansea at home and Crawley on the road.
- Cup context: EFL Cup matches are often less cagey, with clubs rotating and chasing goals.
- Manager trends: Swansea (Alan Sheehan) and Crawley (Scott Lindsey) both set out to attack.
- Bookmaker confidence: BTTS Yes odds around 1.80–1.85 with up to 50–60% implied probability.
Betting Odds Snapshot
| Market | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS: Yes | 1.83 | 54.6% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.95 | 51.3% |
| Swansea Win | 1.60 | 62.5% |
| Crawley Win | 5.00 | 20% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 27.8% |
Expert Prediction
Primary Recommendation:
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes @ 1.83 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
