Prediction – Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca

Rayo Vallecano welcome RCD Mallorca to Estadio de Vallecas in a La Liga fixture on Saturday, May 24th 2025, where both sides will be desperate to secure points as the season nears its conclusion. With safety nearly in reach, the emphasis for both clubs may shift toward defensive discipline rather than taking risks, setting the stage for a tightly contested affair.

Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca

The last five meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca have all featured two goals or fewer, with three of them ending 1-0. These fixtures have consistently been tight, physical, and tactical, reflecting both teams’ conservative approaches and difficulty breaking each other down.

Rayo Vallecano come into this match off the back of a 0-0 draw against Cádiz, a result that underlined their conservative style in recent weeks. They’ve scored just twice in their last five league games, while conceding only four, with four of those matches finishing under the 2.5 goal mark. Their home games have been particularly low-scoring, averaging only 1.85 total goals per game this season.

Mallorca have mirrored that cautious approach in recent outings. Their last match ended in a narrow 1-0 loss to Real Betis, and they’ve now seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six fixtures. The islanders have been especially goal-shy on the road, averaging just 0.78 goals per away game while maintaining a compact shape in defense to grind out results.

Statistics for the match:

Expect a cautious start from both sides, with neither team likely to take unnecessary risks. Rayo will aim to control possession and probe patiently, while Mallorca will prioritize shape and discipline, looking to hit on the break. With both teams struggling to convert chances and favouring low-risk football, goals are expected to be at a premium.

What is the Prediction?

Given the recent scoring form of both sides, their defensive priorities, and a head-to-head history filled with low-scoring encounters, under 2.5 goals appears the most likely outcome in this fixture.

Summary

Match: Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca

Bet: under 2.5 goals

Odds: -133 / 1.75

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