Prediction : Birmingham City vs Ipswich Town

Birmingham City welcome Ipswich Town to St. Andrew’s @ Knighthead Park on Friday, 8 August 2025, 20:00 BST to kick off the new EFL Championship season. Our comprehensive analysis predicts Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes at attractive odds of 1.83, backed by compelling statistical evidence.


H2H RecordBirmingham CityIpswich Town
Total Meetings (since 2006)22 matches22 matches
Wins6 (27%)6 (27%)
Draws10 (45%)10 (45%)
Goals Scored28 (1.3 avg)32 (1.5 avg)
BTTS Frequency16/22 matches (73%)16/22 matches (73%)

Recent H2H Results:

  • 24 Feb 2024: Ipswich Town 3-1 Birmingham City (BTTS ✅)
  • 4 Nov 2023: Birmingham City 1-0 Ipswich Town (BTTS ❌)
  • 13 Apr 2019: Ipswich Town 1-1 Birmingham City (BTTS ✅)

The historical data strongly supports BTTS, with 73% of their encounters featuring goals from both sides.


Current Form Analysis

Birmingham City – League One Champions 2024/25

  • Record-breaking season: 111 points from 46 matches
  • Promotion style: Dominant attacking football under Chris Davies
  • Summer investment: £15m+ on new signings including Kyogo Furuhashi, Demarai Gray
  • Pre-season form: 4W-3L including 1-0 win vs Nottingham Forest

Ipswich Town – Premier League Relegated 2024/25

  • Final position: 19th (4W-10D-24L, 22 points)
  • Goals record: 36 scored, 82 conceded (2.16 per game)
  • Away vulnerability: Only 3 wins from 19 away matches
  • BTTS frequency: Featured in 60% of their Premier League matches

Why BTTS: Yes Makes Sense

1. Statistical Evidence

  • Historical BTTS rate: 73% in head-to-head meetings
  • Ipswich’s defensive issues: Conceded 82 goals in 38 Premier League games
  • Birmingham’s attacking intent: 111-point League One champions with an attacking mindset

2. Team Characteristics

Birmingham City:

  • New attacking signings (Gray, Furuhashi, Anderson)
  • Home advantage at newly renovated St. Andrew’s
  • Confidence from record-breaking promotion season

Ipswich Town:

  • Proven Championship goalscorers (Szmodics, Hirst, Clarke)
  • Desperate to bounce back immediately
  • Kieran McKenna’s attacking philosophy remains intact

3. Match Context

  • Season opener dynamics: Both teams eager to make a statement
  • Relegation response: Ipswich motivated to prove Premier League relegation was temporary
  • Championship ambitions: Birmingham targeting immediate promotion with heavy investment

Current Betting Odds & Market Analysis

MarketBest OddsBookmakerImplied Probability
BTTS: Yes1.83Helabet54.6%
BTTS: No2.00Various50.0%
Birmingham Win2.521win39.7%
Draw3.25Various30.8%
Ipswich Win2.75Various36.4%

Value Analysis: BTTS: Yes at 1.83 offers excellent value considering the 73% historical rate.


Team News & Expected Lineups

Birmingham City Predicted XI:

Formation: 4-2-3-1

  • GK: Allsop
  • DEF: Osayi-Samuel, Klarer, Neumann, Cochrane
  • MID: Iwata, Paik
  • CAM: Gray, Anderson, Doyle
  • ST: Stansfield

Key Players: Demarai Gray (creativity), Jay Stansfield (19 League One goals)

Ipswich Town Predicted XI:

Formation: 4-2-3-1

  • GK: Palmer
  • DEF: Johnson, O’Shea, Greaves, Young
  • MID: Matusiwa, Taylor
  • CAM: Philogene, Szmodics, Clarke
  • ST: Hirst

Key Players: Sammie Szmodics (Championship experience), George Hirst (pace threat)


Expert Prediction & Betting Strategy

Primary Recommendation:

Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 1.83 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Supporting Evidence:

  1. 73% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings
  2. Ipswich’s defensive vulnerability (82 goals conceded in 38 PL games)
  3. Birmingham’s attacking investment and home advantage
  4. Season opener dynamics favor open, attacking football
  5. Both managers’ attacking philosophies (Davies & McKenna)

Alternative Markets:

  • Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05 (Value bet considering 2.7 avg in H2H)
  • Birmingham Win & BTTS @ 4.50 (Combination bet)

Match Prediction Summary

Final Score Prediction: Birmingham City 2-1 Ipswich Town

Key Factors:

  • Birmingham’s home advantage and attacking signings
  • Ipswich’s defensive frailties from Premier League season
  • Both teams’ need to start strongly
  • Historical BTTS trends strongly favor goals at both ends

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