Prediction : BK Häcken vs Brann

BK Häcken host SK Brann in the UEFA Europa League Qualification Round 3 first leg at Bravida Arena on Thursday, 7 August 2025, 17:00 UTC. Our expert analysis predicts over 2.5 goals as both sides bring potent attacks and defensive vulnerabilities into this tie.

Head-to-Head Insights

  • These clubs have never met competitively before.
  • In absence of direct H2H, we rely on form and goal trends.

2025 Domestic Form

BK Häcken – Swedish Allsvenskan (Position: 8th, 16 matches)

  • Goals scored per match: 1.50
  • Goals conceded per match: 1.56
  • Over 2.5 goals: 43.75% (7/16)
  • Clean sheets: 31.25%
  • Failed to score: 31.25%

Key Häcken Matches (recent 5):

  • 3–3 vs AIK (Over 2.5, BTTS)
  • 1–6 vs Djurgården (Over 2.5, BTTS)
  • 2–1 vs Anderlecht (UECL Qual) – Brann encounter preview
  • 1–2 vs Elfsborg (Allsvenskan)

SK Brann – Norwegian Eliteserien (Position: 2nd, 16 matches)

  • Goals scored per match: 1.71
  • Goals conceded per match: 1.50
  • Over 2.5 goals: 50%
  • BTTS: 50%
  • Home advantage: +9%

Key Brann Matches (recent 5):

  • 3–1 vs Viking (Over 2.5, BTTS)
  • 1–1 vs Salzburg (UECL Qual)
  • 1–4 vs Salzburg (UECL Qual)
  • 2–1 vs KFUM (Eliteserien)
  • 1–2 vs Bodo/Glimt (Eliteserien, BTTS)

Why Over 2.5 Goals?

  1. Attacking tendencies: Häcken average 1.50 goals; Brann 1.71.
  2. Defensive frailties: Häcken concede 1.56; Brann 1.50.
  3. Historical goal-rich ties: Both teams recorded over 2.5 goals in 47% (Häcken) and 50% (Brann) of matches.
  4. BTTS propensity: Häcken and Brann each saw BTTS in 47% and 50% of games.
  5. European context: Qualification ties often open up, especially first legs with home attack focus.

Betting Odds & Market

MarketOddsImplied Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.85–1.9551.3%–54.1%
Under 2.51.90–2.0050.0%–52.6%
BTTS: Yes1.80–1.9052.6%–55.6%
1X2: Häcken2.10–2.2045.5%–47.6%
1X2: Brann3.30–3.5028.6%–30.3%

Value pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90

Prediction Summary

  • Match: BK Häcken vs SK Brann
  • Competition: UEFA Europa League Qualifiers R3 (1st leg)
  • Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
  • Best Odds: 1.90

Expect an open, high-scoring affair as both sides chase advantage before the return leg in Bergen.

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