The Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venice sets the stage for a crucial Serie A clash as struggling Venezia hosts European hopefuls AC Milan on April 27, 2025. With Venezia fighting to avoid relegation and Milan pushing for a higher finish, both teams have plenty at stake in this late-season encounter.
Venezia vs AC Milan
Venezia currently sits 18th in the Serie A table, reflecting a difficult campaign marked by inconsistency and a lack of firepower. The Venetians have managed just four wins from 33 matches, with a home record of four wins, five draws, and seven losses. Offensively, Venezia has averaged only 0.82 goals per game this season, while conceding 1.39 per match—a sign of their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Despite their low scoring, matches involving Venezia have averaged 2.21 goals, and 39% of their games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
AC Milan, meanwhile, occupies 9th place and remains in the hunt for European qualification. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. However, Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.75 goals per game across all competitions this season, and has seen over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of their matches. The likes of Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao, and Tammy Abraham provide plenty of attacking threat, while the team’s defensive record has been less convincing, with both teams scoring in 65% of their matches.
Statistics for the Match :
Venezia’s home form has been poor, but their matches at the Pierluigi Penzo average 1.81 goals per game, with only 25% finishing over 2.5 goals. However, their defensive vulnerabilities and Milan’s attacking quality suggest a more open contest could be on the cards. Milan’s away games have a higher likelihood of goals, and their attacking depth could exploit Venezia’s leaky defense. In the last three head-to-head meetings, Milan has won all three, scoring nine goals and conceding none.
Both teams’ recent statistics point towards a match with scoring opportunities:
- AC Milan: Over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of matches this season.
- Venezia: Over 2.5 goals in 39% of matches, but this rises to 53% in away games, suggesting their matches can open up, especially against stronger opponents.
- Head-to-head: Milan has dominated, winning all recent encounters with a combined score of 9-0.
What is the Prediction?
In conclusion, given AC Milan’s attacking quality, Venezia’s defensive issues, and the historical trend of high-scoring meetings between these sides, the prediction is that there will be over 2.5 goals in this encounter. Milan’s need for points and Venezia’s desperation to fight for survival should lead to an open, entertaining match with plenty of goalmouth action.
Summary
Match: Venezia vs AC Milan
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds:-120 / 1.83
