Prediction : Viktoria Plzeň vs Górnik Zabrze

Viktoria Plzeň and Górnik Zabrze meet in a high-scoring friendly on Tuesday, July 8, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC (Arena Letná, Prague), where historical and recent goal metrics point strongly towards over 3 goals.

Head-to-Head and Friendly Context

Their only direct meeting in July 2008 finished 3–2 to Plzeň, yielding 5 total goals (2.50 goals per team) and 100% over 2.5 goals. Both sides traditionally adopt open, attacking tactics in summer friendlies, prioritizing offensive trials over defensive rigidity.

Viktoria Plzeň’s Scoring Prowess

• Goals per match (2024/25 Czech First League): 2.03
• Average total goals per match featuring Plzeň: 3.06
• Over 2.5 goals in Plzeň fixtures: 54% (19/35 matches)
• Over 3.5 goals in Plzeň fixtures: 31% (11/35 matches) 

Plzeň’s offensive system under coach Michal Bílek emphasizes high pressing and quick transitions, creating multiple scoring opportunities. In UEFA competition, they averaged 1.5 goals per match while conceding 1.34, indicating frequent goal-rich encounters.

Górnik Zabrze’s Goal-Heavy Profile

• Goals per match (2024/25 Ekstraklasa): 1.26
• Average total goals per Górnik matches: 2.41
• Over 2.5 goals in Górnik fixtures: 44% (15/34 matches)
• Over 3.5 goals in Górnik fixtures: 21% (7/34 matches) 

Górnik’s high-tempo attack under manager Jan Urban produces end-to-end games. Their defence concedes 1.15 goals per match, while potent forwards like Serhou Guirassy deliver match-defining strikes.

Statistical Rationale for Over 3 Goals

• Combined average goals: 3.06 (Plzeň) + 2.41 (Górnik) = 5.47 total avg.
• Head-to-head average: 5.00 goals in 1 friendly meeting.
• Friendly match tendency: Both teams experiment offensively, often sacrificing defensive compactness.

With Plzeň’s matches seeing over 3.5 goals nearly one-third of the time and Górnik’s almost one in five, plus the historical 5-goal friendly, the over 3 goals market carries substantial value.

Final Prediction

• Primary bet: Over 3 goals
• Expected scoreline: Viktoria Plzeň 3–1 Górnik Zabrze
• Confidence: High
• Odds : -100/2