Chelsea vs Everton: Both Teams to Score BTTS Yes – A Stamford Bridge Showdown

Chelsea hosts Everton at Stamford Bridge on December 13, 2025, in a Premier League clash that screams goals at both ends. Our prediction? Both Teams To Score (BTTS Yes)—and we’re backing it hard. Here’s why this angle absolutely stacks up.

The Case for BTTS Yes

This matchup has all the hallmarks of a goal-fest. Chelsea’s home fortress has been firing on all cylinders—they’re averaging 1.43 goals per game at the Bridge and they’ve scored in 86% of their home games this season. Meanwhile, Everton, despite their away struggles, have shown they can poach goals when it matters. The data doesn’t lie: in head-to-head meetings at Stamford Bridge, BTTS has landed in 57% of games, with Everton managing a strike in nearly half of their away outings historically.​

Chelsea’s attacking options are world-class. João Pedro (4 goals), Cole Palmer (dynamic finisher), and Neto (5 goals) are creating chances daily. They’re 5th in the league with 25 goals scored and are relentless in the final third. Everton’s defense, ranked 14th in the Premier League, concedes regularly away from Goodison Park—they’ve allowed 1.71 goals per game in away fixtures. That’s a recipe for Chelsea finding the net, which they almost certainly will.​

But here’s the underrated angle: Everton can score. Under new manager Sean Dyche’s tactical setup, they’ve found more balance and aren’t the slouch away side they used to be. Dwight McNeil, who bagged an early strike against Brentford, is in form. Everton have netted in 71% of their away Premier League matches this season, and while they haven’t always impressed, they’ve picked up points (and goals) in recent weeks.​

Form and Momentum Matters

Chelsea sit 4th with 25 points from 15 games, riding high on recent results. They’ve won 7 of their last 14 and are 7-4-4 at home—plenty of attacking forays but also defensive vulnerabilities. Chelsea concede 0.56 goals per home game on average, suggesting they’re not a fortress in the defensive third. That’s the opening Everton need.​

Everton (7th, 24 points) are fresher under Dyche’s regime than earlier in the season. With three clean sheets in recent weeks, they’re organized, but more importantly for BTTS purposes, they’ve shown an ability to hit on the break and from set pieces. Their early-season struggles masked their potential—they’re not the pushover many assume.​

Head-to-Head Insights That Matter

In 41 career meetings, Chelsea lead 17-11 with 13 draws. But look closer: Chelsea have won 27 straight Premier League games unbeaten at Stamford Bridge against Everton—that’s an unreal home record. However, scorelines tell the real story. BTTS has hit in 50% of recent Chelsea-Everton matchups, with average goals per game hovering around 1.46 to 2.2 depending on the sample.​

Chelsea’s 294 all-time goals against Everton (way more than any other opponent) shows their attacking dominance, but Everton’s ability to score—even in defeat—is consistent. They’re not a one-way traffic team, which makes BTTS the smart play.​

Tactical Breakdown: Why Goals Flow Both Ways

Chelsea’s Setup: They press high under Enzo Maresca, leaving gaps in transition. Everton’s pace merchants (McNeil, Gordon style wingers) can exploit this on the counter. Chelsea’s fullbacks push forward aggressively, which is fantastic going forward but inviting Everton through the middle or wide. Expect at least one Chelsea goal—that’s near-certain—but expect Everton to create chances too.

Everton’s Approach: Dyche’s teams defend deep, stay compact, and hunt for set pieces and transitions. This compact shape makes them tough to break down in large volumes, but it also means when Chelsea do attack (which they will constantly), there’s a counter-brewing. Everton will get their shot(s), guaranteed.

Key Stats That Back BTTS Yes

• Chelsea home scoring: 86% of games score​
• Everton away scoring: 71% of games score​
• BTTS in H2H: 57% hit rate​
• Combined expected goals: Chelsea 1.27 xG, Everton 0.87 xG—plenty of shooting​
• Over 2.5 goals probability: 52% historically​

When you layer this data, BTTS Yes sits at roughly 55-57% probability, making it a solid-value bet at typical 1.65-1.80 odds.

Betting Tips: The Full Ticket

• Primary Pick: BTTS Yes – Confidence level: High
• Correct Score Lean: 2-1 Chelsea – Chelsea edge but Everton goals expected​
• Over 2.5 Goals: Pairs beautifully with BTTS for same-game parlays​
• Anytime Goalscorer: Cole Palmer 1+ goals (he’s on fire) + a booking combo for variance
• Shots on Target: Over 7.5 total (Chelsea will pepper goal, Everton creates chances)​

Why This Prediction Hits

The simple truth: Chelsea will dominate possession and chances—they always do at home. But Everton aren’t mugs. They’ve got craft, they’ve got pace, and they’ve got a manager drilling them to be sharp in transition. Dyche’s Everton isn’t the 3-0 punching bag of seasons past—they’re organized, they’re dangerous on the break, and they will test Kepa at Stamford Bridge.

For bettors, BTTS Yes captures the reality of modern Chelsea-Everton: Chelsea are favorites to win, but Everton will score. It’s not a 3-0 whitewash or a 1-0 snoozer—it’s a 2-1 or 2-2 type of game. That’s BTTS territory.